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Microgrid Feasibility & Economics

What Is a Load Study?

A load study analyzes electricity demand over time for a facility, campus, or community—so your microgrid is sized for reality, not assumptions.

Definition

Demand over time (not one number)

Instead of a single snapshot, a load study shows how power use shifts across hours, days, and seasons—revealing peaks, patterns, and priorities that impact sizing and cost.

Hour by hour Day to day Season to season
Why it supports microgrids

It powers sizing, economics, resilience

  • System sizing

    Ensure generation + storage can meet demand—especially peaks and critical loads.

  • Economic analysis

    Connect energy use to CAPEX/OPEX and model payback and operating strategy.

  • Reliability & resilience

    Identify what must stay powered during outages and plan islanding duration.

Key Load Metrics Explained

Peak Demand

The highest power demand over a period.

Why it matters: Sets required capacity for generators, inverters, and infrastructure—average demand can miss critical peaks.

Average Load

Typical demand over time.

Why it matters: Helps estimate energy production needs, fuel use, battery cycling, and operating costs.

Energy Consumption

Total electricity used (kWh) over a period.

Why it matters: Informs annual cost, renewable sizing, and long-term performance modeling.

Load Factor

Average load Ć· peak load.

Why it matters: Higher load factor = steadier demand and usually better economics; low load factor means sizing for infrequent peaks.

Load Duration Curve

Shows how often different load levels occur.

Why it matters: Helps optimize generation + storage by revealing how frequent peaks really are.

Microgrid Basics

Types of Loads in a Microgrid

Not all loads are equal. When a microgrid runs in islanded operation, prioritization ensures limited power goes where it matters most.

Tip: switch to Island Mode to see how priorities change.
Always On

Critical Loads

Essential functions that must remain powered to protect life, safety, or core operations.

Examples
  • Medical equipment
  • Emergency systems
  • Data servers
  • Essential communications
Can Curtail

Non-Critical Loads

Loads that can be reduced or shut down during outages without severe consequences.

Examples
  • Discretionary lighting
  • Non-essential HVAC
  • Elective processes
Shiftable

Flexible / Deferrable Loads

Loads that can be shifted in time or adjusted based on system conditions.

Examples
  • EV charging
  • Water pumping
  • Thermal storage

Load Study Inputs

Data Sources for Load Studies

Load studies typically rely on a combination of measured and estimated data. The quality and resolution of your inputs directly affect study accuracy.

Data quality & resolution Balanced
Coarse / low resolution High resolution / high confidence
Measured

Utility Bills

Monthly energy use and peak demand—great for baseline understanding and early estimates.

  • Shows monthly kWh
  • Often includes peak demand
  • Limited detail on hourly peaks
Measured

Interval Meter Data

Hourly or sub-hourly profiles—reveals the real peaks that drive equipment sizing.

  • High-resolution demand patterns
  • Captures short-duration spikes
  • Best for sizing and modeling
Measured

Sub-metering

Building/system-level visibility—helps pinpoint what’s driving demand and prioritize loads.

  • Granular by building/process
  • Improves critical-load planning
  • Great for campus microgrids
Estimated

Equipment Nameplate Data

Useful when metering is unavailable—estimate loads based on rated power and usage assumptions.

  • Fast early-stage estimates
  • Depends on duty cycles
  • Validate with metering when possible
Estimated

Modeled / Estimated Loads

Best for new builds or expansions—simulate expected demand based on design and operations.

  • Supports future growth scenarios
  • Depends on assumptions
  • Refine as real data becomes available
Pro Tip

Accuracy = Data + Resolution

Bills are a strong start—but interval and sub-metering reveal the peaks that make or break sizing.

Start with bills Add interval data Validate priorities

Load Study Accuracy

Time Resolution & Duration

The level of detail in load data matters. Resolution and study duration shape what you can see—and what you might miss.

Interactive View

Zoom into your demand data šŸ“ŠšŸ”

Hourly and sub-hourly data captures short-duration peaks that drive equipment sizing. Seasonal patterns reveal heating/cooling shifts. Multi-year data highlights trends and anomalies.

Resolution Balanced
Coarse Detailed
Balanced resolution helps reveal typical demand patterns without missing critical peaks.

Load Profile Preview

This visual changes based on resolution

Hourly Seasonal Multi-Year
Pro Insight: Using coarse or short-term data can hide critical peaks and lead to under- or over-designed systems.
Most important for sizing

Hourly / Sub-hourly data

Captures short-duration peaks that often determine generator, inverter, and battery capacity.

Operational reality

Seasonal variation

Reflects heating/cooling swings and changing operational patterns across the year.

Confidence builder

Multi-year duration

Reveals trends, anomalies, and growth signals that can impact long-term microgrid performance.

Feasibility Analysis

How Load Studies Guide Microgrid Decisions

In microgrid feasibility studies, load data is the decision fuel—powering technology choices, right-sizing, cost estimates, and resilience planning.

FEASIBILITY ENGINE

Scenario Modeling

Feasibility models use the load profile to test configurations and operating strategies—so designs work on paper and in the real world.

Sizing confidence
Cost accuracy
Resilience planning

Outcome: decisions backed by data—not guesswork.

Decision

Technology Selection

Choose the right balance between generation and storage based on real demand behavior.

Generation mix Storage strategy
Decision

System Sizing

Size capacity to meet both peak demand and critical loads—especially during islanded operation.

Peak-ready Critical-first
Decision

CAPEX & OPEX Estimates

Link energy use to equipment needs, cycling, and fuel inputs to forecast costs with confidence.

CAPEX OPEX Fuel
Decision

Resilience & Islanding Duration

Determine how long critical loads can be supported during outages—and what to shed first.

Hours Priorities Outage strategy

Common Pitfalls

Load Study Challenges, Mistakes, & How to Correct Them

Early-stage load studies often fail because of missing info, wrong assumptions, or poor forecasting. Below are the most common issues—and what to do to fix them.

High Risk 01

Incomplete or inconsistent data

Problem

Teams use partial utility bills, outdated equipment lists, or mixed data sources.

Fix

Collect consistent data from the same time period (preferably 12 months), confirm equipment counts, and validate with walkthroughs or interval data.

āœ… Do this:

  • Gather 12 months of utility bills
  • Request 15-minute interval data (if available)
  • Confirm actual operating schedules
Cost Driver 02

Overestimating critical loads

Problem

Too many loads get labeled ā€œcritical,ā€ which increases system size and cost.

Fix

Separate loads into critical vs. non-critical and confirm what truly must stay on during outages.

āœ… Do this:

  • Create a ā€œcritical loads onlyā€ list
  • Confirm with building operations + leadership
  • Identify what can be shed during outages
Planning Gap 03

Ignoring future growth or operational changes

Problem

The system is designed for today, not tomorrow, and becomes too small later.

Fix

Include realistic growth projections and expansion plans.

āœ… Do this:

  • Ask: ā€œWhat changes in 1–5 years?ā€
  • Add growth margin (ex: +10% to +30%)
  • Plan for new equipment or added shifts
Reliability Risk 04

Using averages instead of peak demand

Problem

Averages hide real stress points, especially during peak hours or high-use seasons.

Fix

Size systems using peak demand and real load profiles—not just average kWh.

āœ… Do this:

  • Use peak kW data (not only energy use)
  • Identify worst-case operating hours
  • Study seasonal peaks (summer vs winter)
Modeling Risk 05

Not accounting for runtime / duty cycles

Problem

Loads get assumed ā€œON all dayā€ when they actually cycle on and off.

Fix

Apply real runtime estimates and operating schedules for each major load group.

āœ… Do this:

  • Track how long equipment runs daily
  • Confirm schedules per department
  • Use duty cycles (ex: 30%, 50%, 80%)
System Crash Risk 06

Ignoring startup / inrush currents

Problem

Motors and compressors pull high power at startup and may crash the system.

Fix

Include surge/inrush values when sizing inverters and backup systems.

āœ… Do this:

  • Identify motor-based loads (HVAC, pumps, refrigerators)
  • Use manufacturer specs for inrush current
  • Add surge capacity margin
Performance Gap 07

Missing system losses and inefficiencies

Problem

Studies forget inverter losses, wiring losses, and battery efficiency.

Fix

Add realistic loss factors so the system performs as expected.

āœ… Do this:

  • Include inverter efficiency (~95–98%)
  • Include battery efficiency (~85–95%)
  • Include wiring losses (~2–5%)
Clarity Risk 08

Poor load categorization

Problem

Teams lump all equipment into one bucket, making results unclear and oversized.

Fix

Group loads by type and importance to build phased backup plans.

āœ… Do this:

  • Separate: HVAC, lighting, plug loads, process loads
  • Tag: critical / essential / optional
  • Build phased backup plans
Validation Fail 09

Not validating assumptions with real measurements

Problem

The study relies on guesses instead of actual usage.

Fix

Confirm with metering, data loggers, and site checks.

āœ… Do this:

  • Use spot measurements or temporary submeters
  • Confirm with facility manager/operator
  • Compare assumptions to actual meter data
Alignment Risk 10

Lack of stakeholder alignment

Problem

The engineering plan doesn’t match how the building actually runs.

Fix

Coordinate early with operations, finance, and leadership.

āœ… Do this:

  • Hold a load review meeting
  • Confirm ā€œmust stay onā€ equipment
  • Get written sign-off on critical loads list

Collaboration & Governance

Who Should Be Involved in a Load Study

Effective load studies are built by a team—not a single spreadsheet. Early engagement improves accuracy, reduces surprises, and increases stakeholder buy-in.

Operations Reality

Facility Managers

Provide insight into daily operations, constraints, schedules, and what ā€œnormalā€ really looks like.

Schedules Constraints Site walkthroughs
Translate to Design

Engineers

Convert demand data into system requirements—sizing generation, storage, and electrical infrastructure.

Sizing Models Specifications
Outage Strategy

Operators

Identify practical load priorities during outages and define what must remain on in island mode.

Critical loads Shed plan Runbooks
Local Alignment

Community Stakeholders

Ensure technical decisions align with local needs, priorities, and long-term resilience goals.

Priorities Equity Public trust
Early-Stage Guidance

What this load study is (and isn’t)

Early-stage load studies support preliminary planning and feasibility analysis. They rely on available data and assumptions that should be validated as projects advance.

Reminder: Final microgrid designs should be based on verified measurements and professional review.
Required for Final Design

Before you finalize the system

  • āœ” Detailed engineering studies
  • āœ” Verified metering data
  • āœ” Professional technical review
Validate Review Refine